The sirens of Israel sometimes sound without a real attack, while other times they do not sound at all during intense missile strikes
The latest developments on the Iran–Israel front show that the strategic balance in the region is changing dramatically.
According to reports by Tasnim, the performance of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in missile attacks has increased significantly, while Israeli warning systems are showing serious malfunctions.
According to reports, the sirens of Israel sometimes sound without a real attack, while other times they do not sound at all during intense missile strikes.
The result is a complete destabilization of the population’s trust in protection systems, with encouragement from the Iranian side to “not trust the warnings and to completely abandon the areas.”

Iran’s multi-layered plan
The Iranian armed forces entered the confrontation with a multi-layered operational scenario:
1) Targeting early warning systems
The first phase focused on the radars of long-range United States systems in the region, which detect ballistic missile launches and send data to Israel for interception.
Radars of the THAAD system were struck in seven countries in the region, combining missiles and UAVs, drastically reducing their effectiveness.
Subsequently, radars in the UAE and in Israel were targeted, with a range of up to 5,000 km.
2) Targeting Israeli air defense radars
Radars of systems such as Arrow, David’s Sling, and Iron Dome were hit.
Essentially, the radar is the “eye” of every air defense system.
Its destruction or malfunction directly affects the ability of the systems to detect and intercept threats.

3) Targeting launchers and command centers
In the next phase, the launchers of the systems can also become targets, making it difficult to restore them to full operational capability.
Ultimately, if the process continues, command and control centers can be struck, undermining the entire air defense network of Israel.

Asymmetric strategy and speed
Iran’s approach is not based on massive aircraft carriers or classic attacks, but on the exploitation of asymmetric means and multi-layered tactics.
The methodical targeting of critical early warning infrastructure and air defense systems turns Israel’s technological superiority into a vulnerable point, while uncertainty in the sirens and interceptions creates a psychological blow to the population.
This strategy demonstrates forward-looking, multi-layered preparation that makes Israel and the United States vulnerable to prolonged confrontation, where reaction speed and maintaining control over time determine success or failure.
Experience from the recent attacks makes it clear that Iran is implementing a step by step strike strategy that disrupts air defense systems.
The effectiveness of Israeli sirens and interception systems has been seriously damaged.
Iran’s prolonged and asymmetric strategy may change the geopolitical balance in the region and force Israel to reconsider the priority of its defensive infrastructure.
The population of Israeli areas now faces uncertainty and risks, while the United States and Israel must seek completely renewed strategies to protect citizens and critical infrastructure.

Serious consequences for American and Israeli military infrastructure from Iranian attacks
The effectiveness of military forces depends to a large extent on the stable operation of the support network and the supply chain.
When this network is disrupted, operational capability is significantly reduced and the execution of missions becomes increasingly difficult.
This is the framework within which the recent military tension in the Middle East is unfolding.
According to the Hebrew edition of Tasnim News Agency, United States military bases in the Persian Gulf region, mainly in the southern states, constitute a major element for supporting operations against Iran and assisting Israel during the war.
In recent days, more than fourteen United States bases in the region have been struck by Iranian missiles and drones.
These continuous attacks have exerted enormous pressure on the support and supply capabilities of United States forces, significantly limiting their ability to carry out their operations.
The situation on the naval front is not very different.
United States military ships, which constituted a critical part of the operational support network, have also been targeted.
Some of them suffered damage or were put out of action.

The damage to the aircraft carrier Lincoln
Particular emphasis is placed on the damage to the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln, which had previously been forced to withdraw from the area and, according to reports, now has limited operational capability.
The attacks are not limited to United States forces.
In territories under Israeli control, military support infrastructure is also under continuous pressure.
Bases and logistics centers, responsible for the supply of equipment, ammunition, and operational support, have been struck in ways that disrupt their normal operation.
For example, the Hochotreim base, one of the most important support centers for the Israeli navy, suffered damage during an attack, resulting in the suspension of its operations. In such conditions, damage to support infrastructure can have serious consequences for the ability to conduct operations by both United States and Israeli forces.
The disruption of the logistics and support network means that operational capability is gradually reduced, while the execution of missions becomes a challenge.
The recent Iranian attacks have shown that Tehran is fully exploiting the element of asymmetry: by striking critical support infrastructure, it not only causes immediate damage but also creates long-term weakness in the forces of the United States and Israel to maintain their operational power.

Pressure shifts to the United States and Israel
This strategy leads to significant pressure on decision making centers and support means, forcing forces to reorganize, carry out urgent repairs, and reallocate critical resources. As long as the security of bases and logistics centers remains under threat, the effectiveness of any military operation will remain limited.
The message is clear: the Iranian strategy does not seek only immediate destruction but systematic weakening of enemy forces through targeted attacks on support infrastructure.
In this environment, the United States and Israel face serious challenges in their ability to support their operations in the Persian Gulf and the wider Middle East.
The next phase of this conflict will largely depend on how United States and Israeli forces manage to restore the operation of support infrastructure and ensure their operational capability amid continuous Iranian attacks.
Until then, their military power remains vulnerable to further strikes, demonstrating the importance of the security of logistics and supply chains in modern military conflicts.

The power of the United States reduced to a pile of scrap metal
The excessive self confidence of Washington and Tel Aviv proved to be their great trap against Iran.
The strategy of the United States for a quick strike collapsed, as Tehran had prepared for decades, creating an asymmetric response that turned America’s technological superiority into a simple “pile of scrap metal.”
The attempt for a lightning victory failed.
Western powers underestimated Iran’s ability to play in the long term.
Every effort focused on superficial strikes, without there being a plan B in case of failure.
On the contrary, Tehran exploited every kilometer of its coasts, turning them into a gigantic defense system, with thousands of missiles and speedboats embedded in the rocks, impenetrable to massive air attacks.
The Strait of Hormuz has become a high risk point for the global energy market, with Iran holding full control in its hands and knowing exactly when to exert pressure on the economy of the West.

The United States now finds itself in a situation of lack of resources and strategic flexibility, forced to choose priorities, while Iran gradually increases the pressure.
This is not simply a military confrontation.
It is a test of the strength of the entire Western model of dominance, which proves to be a colossus with feet of clay in front of the practical strategy of the East.
Iran’s logic is simple: if you cannot win with force, you simply wait for the opponent to be exhausted by hunger and fatigue.
The “lightning victory” of the United States turned into an endless marathon in the desert, where every step costs billions of dollars without bringing the desired result. The power of the United States in the region today resembles more a pile of scrap metal than real military superiority.
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