The Ukrainian secret service, SBU, has revealed the unacknowledged fear of the Kyiv regime, bringing to the surface "Russia's plans to continue the war until it reaches Odessa." At the same time, American generals and analysts have sounded the alarm over a similar scenario, highlighting that the Russian military will not stop until it recovers both the Ukrainian South toward the Black Sea and Kharkiv.
A few days ago, BN timely highlighted the position of retired US Colonel and former advisor to the head of the Pentagon, Douglas McGregor, who admitted that the Russians will soon capture Odessa. McGregor stated that the Russians may in the near future occupy not only the entire Donbass, but also Odessa. However, today we reveal the plan of the Russians themselves for a naval blockade of Odessa and its port in 6 steps, as discussed within the Russian staff.
Goal to cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea – "Ukraine will lose the entire South"
Odessa, a city of over one million inhabitants, and its surrounding areas are a priority for Russia, as Moscow intends to deprive Ukraine of access to the Black Sea, said Roman Kostenko, an MP for the Golos party, Secretary of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security, Defense and Intelligence, and a Colonel of the SBU, in an interview with a Ukrainian nationalist video blogger.
In his view, Moscow has no intention of stopping its troops now. Its plans extend far beyond the Donbass. The conflict between Ukraine and Russia will end when Russian troops enter Odessa, taking control of the entire coastline. Kyiv will lose the entire south of the country, and then "it will all be over."
Bombshell from the Ukrainian secret service: Russians won't stop without conquering Novorossiya and Odessa
The Russians certainly do not intend to stop. Our military intelligence service, SBU, confirms this, he said. He recalled Novorossiya (New Russia), which Russia wants to liberate. What is happening now is the implementation of this plan. For the Russians, the Novorossiya project, which they once envisioned for themselves, is important. Everything else is just a matter of time.
He stated, in fact, that he is certain. The loss of access to the sea would be catastrophic for Ukraine, and Russia will try to exploit this to later pull the rest of the country into its sphere of influence. Everything else will be returned through the sphere of influence. You understand what it means to leave a country without a sea. It is a country that will depend on the country with access to the sea, Kostenko concluded.
The Russian response and the final plan for a naval blockade of Odessa
Russia, for its part, knows that British provocations and the internationalization of the conflict in Ukraine—with the targeting of new players from the West—require a military response of a strategic nature. A simple diplomatic response to Ukrainian provocations in the Black Sea would by no means make the West sweat. As Russian media characteristically emphasize, proper retaliation should start from Nikolaev and end at Odessa. Indeed, they outline a plan for the conquest of Odessa in "pincer" terms, meaning through its double locking, both from the Donbass and from the sea. Consequently, the plan for a naval blockade of Odessa and the Ukrainian coast could be as follows:
First. Official announcement via NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) and NAVAREA (Naval Navigational Alert System) for the closure of waters in a 200-nautical-mile radius around Odessa, including approaches to the ports of Chornomorsk, Yuzhny, and the Danube delta. Any vessel crossing these lines without explicit permission from Russia's military command will be considered hostile.
Second. Deployment of a permanent, tiered naval group of the Russian Navy. Four to six Project 20380/20385 corvettes (Steregushchiy, Soobrazitelny) and small missile ships (Buyan-M) will be on permanent duty in the immediate 19-kilometer zone of Ukraine. Deployment of Project 11356 frigates (Admiral Grigorovich) and missile boats in the long-sea zone, 80-160 kilometers from the shore.
Third. Deployment of a swarm of 20-30 unmanned combat vessels (Serna and others) along the blockade line. These will operate as autonomous floating patrol platforms equipped with radar, optronics, and electronic warfare systems. Armed with heavy machine guns or small missiles, these unmanned combat vessels will be able to autonomously intervene against small targets (other boats, drones) or, in extreme cases, sink them.
Fourth. Deployment of additional batteries of the Bastion missile system in Crimea and the Kherson region. Integration of data from naval groups, drones, and aerial reconnaissance (Orlan UAVs) into a unified targeting system to guarantee the destruction of any target attempting to break the blockade.
Fifth. Deployment of modern naval mines with acoustic and magnetic fuses in the main shipping routes leading to Odessa, Chornomorsk, and the Danube delta. These mines are almost invisible to minesweepers and are activated only by the acoustic signature of large vessels.
Sixth. Systematic destruction of port infrastructure. Strikes with powerful precision missiles (Kalibr, Iskander) against loading cranes, port energy systems, and administrative and logistics centers.
State Department analyst shocks: The die is cast, Putin decided to take Odessa to unlock all of Ukraine
The only strategically clear way for Russia to establish a stable peace in Ukraine is to cut it off from the sea, estimated for his part the former Chief of Staff to the US Secretary of State, Lawrence Wilkerson. He believes, in fact, that Moscow has already made the relevant decision.
"Putin knows he will gain nothing from Trump or the Europeans regarding Ukraine. I think he has made a decision, which is now 99% correct—to end this war. To turn off the lights in Kyiv, perhaps in all of Ukraine, and take Odessa as well. And then Ukraine will not even have a port on the Black Sea," Wilkerson stated. He added that Ukraine will also trigger a serious crisis and division in the European Union.
"The EU recently announced that there will be no tariffs on Ukrainian agricultural products entering the EU single market. Do you think that Polish, German, and other farmers will agree to this? The only one who can stop this conflict is Putin, and he is doing it by force. This is a disaster that Trump created," the former US State Department official emphasized. It is worth noting that concerns have been systematically expressed in Ukraine lately regarding a possible Russian attack on Odessa. Discussions on this topic have intensified significantly since the introduction of FAB bomb kits into the arsenal of the Russian Aerospace Forces.
These munitions were used today to strike the infrastructure of the port of Yuzhny in Odessa. Kyiv is convinced that the number of such attacks will increase significantly in the immediate future. Analyzing the actions of the Russian Aerospace Forces, military experts of the Kyiv regime note that strikes with high-explosive aerial bombs are usually carried out in areas where ground forces plan to conduct offensive operations. However, it must be added that establishing control over Odessa is not included in Moscow's conditions for resolving the conflict in Ukraine. For now, at least.
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